Crypto Sentinel — live
17 signals read against the market regime. Fact vs narrative — it describes the present, never predicts it. Not financial advice.
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BTC · USD · Binance iBTC spot price in USD (Binance), with the 24-hour change. The market's anchor — most other indicators are read relative to where BTC is and where it's heading.
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Fear & Greed Index iFear & Greed Index (0–100, alternative.me), built from volatility, momentum, volume, social and dominance. Extreme fear (<25) is often contrarian-bullish; extreme greed (>75) signals an overheated market.
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Funding Rate · BTC Perp iFunding Rate · BTC Perpetuals (Binance). Paid every 8h. Positive: longs pay shorts (long leverage running hot). Negative: shorts pay longs (possible bottom). Bands: rate < 0 blue; 0–0.01% healthy; 0.01%–0.05% high; ≥ 0.05% extreme.
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Coinbase Premium iCoinbase Premium — how far Coinbase's BTC price sits above/below the global reference (Binance), in percent. Positive = US demand leading; |premium| < 0.02% = no premium detected; negative = US selling/discount.
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Bitcoin Dominance iBitcoin Dominance — BTC's share of total crypto market cap (CoinGecko; the total INCLUDES stablecoins, so this can differ from TradingView/CMC which may exclude them). The direction matters more than the level: rising = money rotating into BTC (often risk-off); falling = into alts. 60% is a widely-watched threshold.
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Altcoin Season iAltcoin Season Index (0–100) — the share of top coins that outperformed BTC over 30 days (stablecoins and wrapped tokens excluded). > 75 = altcoin season; < 25 = bitcoin season. ⚠️ Read with the regime: a high index during a sell-off means alts are falling LESS than BTC (denominator effect), not capital rotating in.
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Open Interest · BTC iOpen Interest · BTC (Binance futures) — the total USD value of open futures contracts. Rising OI = fresh money / leverage entering; falling OI = positions closing.
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Dollar & Rates iDollar (DXY) + the 2-year Treasury yield (Yahoo). A rising dollar and a rising 2Y both tighten liquidity — the classic headwind for risk assets. The 2Y's direction proxies where the market reads Fed policy; v2 adds the 2Y-minus-fed-funds spread for above/below-policy precision.
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Breadth · Russell ÷ NASDAQ iEquity breadth — Russell 2000 (IWM) vs NASDAQ-100 (QQQ). The equities version of BTC dominance: is the whole market participating, or is mega-tech carrying it alone? The 'Unwind' pattern (tech dumping while small caps hold) is the crowded AI trade rotating out — read as a headwind, not strength.
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Asia AI Stress iAsia AI Stress — Korea (EWY) & Taiwan (EWT) ETFs as the US-hours echo of the KOSPI/TAIEX AI-chip trade (no overnight cron needed). These indices are ≈50% concentrated in 2-3 memory & foundry names (Samsung, SK Hynix, TSMC) — what looks like 'a country up 90%' is really a handful of chip stocks. When the AI trade unwinds these don't correct, they break (circuit-breaker). The flag escalates with the worse of the two ETFs' daily move, calibrated to the KRX breaker rungs (−8 / −15 / −20%). It's the Asia leg of the same concentration regime that Breadth measures in US equities and BTC Dominance measures in crypto — a regime overlay, quiet until it isn't.
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MOVE · Bond Vol iMOVE Index — the implied volatility of US Treasuries (the bond market's VIX). Rising MOVE means bond-market stress is building; it led equity vol into the 2023 banking crisis. Calm below ~80, trigger around 120.
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VIX · Equity Vol iVIX — the implied volatility of the S&P 500, the equity 'fear gauge'. Calm below 20; elevated 20–28; higher reads signal stress. Tap the delta to see the path it took.
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US 10Y Yield iUS 10-Year Treasury yield — the world's benchmark rate. The direction matters more than the level: rising yields tighten financial conditions, often a headwind for risk assets.
anchored ~4%
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Gold · XAU iGold (GC=F front-month future, USD per ounce). The classic non-sovereign store of value — often read alongside BTC and the dollar. We show the level and its path; how it maps to crypto is context-dependent, so no good/bad framing.
USD / oz (front-month)
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Oil · WTI iWTI crude (CL=F front-month, USD per barrel) — the geopolitics → supply → inflation channel. Descriptive banding: below ~$60 sits under much of US shale's breakeven and usually signals weak demand; $60–90 is the balanced range; above $90 is the level historically associated with inflation pressure (which tightens the Fed's hand). Levels, not advice.
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Macro Pressure iHow many macro signals currently read headwind, out of those with data (Dollar, Rates, Breadth, Asia, VIX, MOVE). A factual count of the present state — not a forecast. 0–1 calm · 2–3 elevated · 4+ stress.
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ETH ÷ BTC iETH priced in BTC (Binance). The altcoin bellwether: the ratio falling means ETH is losing ground to BTC; rising means the opposite. A relative-strength fact, not a signal.
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Long/Short · BTC Accounts iShare of Binance BTC-perp accounts currently positioned long (global long/short accounts ratio, 1h). Crowd composition — descriptive only; extremes have historically coincided with crowded positioning in either direction.
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On-Chain · MVRV iMVRV ratio — BTC market cap divided by realized cap (the aggregate cost basis of all coins, Coin Metrics). Below 1: the market trades under its cost basis (historically the depressed zone). Above 3: historically stretched vs realized value. The footer derives the implied cost basis (price ÷ MVRV). On-chain data publishes with ~2 days of lag. A factual position vs cost basis — not a signal.
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Miner Economics iNetwork hashrate (blockchain.com, EH/s) with its drawdown from the 90-day peak — a falling hashrate is the observable fact of mining machines going offline. The strip maps BTC's price against INDUSTRY-ESTIMATED mining cost bands (even efficient fleets' power-only cost ≈ $55k; older fleets shut down under ~$75k — estimates vary with power prices and hardware). The drawdown is fact; the bands are labelled estimates.
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